The surveillance of chats and the prohibition of encryption in many Western countries must have a purpose. It mostly makes sense if democracy is dismantled.
Since the West doesn’t show signs of sharing resources voluntarily, my prediction is that the West is willing to fight a nuclear war to preserve its lead which cannot happen in a democracy.
Without that war, Asia will take over as the center of commerce and innovation. The brightest will move there, which means that the remaining people in the West have to be innovative without the main ingredience for innovation.
I’ll go with Hanlon’s razor there. The cops and politicians don’t really understand the magic boxes, let alone the game theory of adversarial uses layered on top of them. People use the boxes for bad things, they say just add a way to stop them, EZ. (Of course, we can’t and it’s not)
Since the West doesn’t show signs of sharing resources voluntarily
Which resources? The “only” tangible advantage the West actually has is strong institutions, and to a much lesser degree momentum. The science behind the technology is free for anyone to learn - even in excruciating detail if you go looking - and natural resources are actually less depleted in poor countries at this point.
That advantage could have been given up and shared. Instead it is defended, even with military power. Why fight those wars now and make enemies?
That advantage could have been given up and shared.
Strong institutions cannot be put in a crate and shipped overseas, no.
Countries like Japan, Singapore and South Korea slowly built their own, and are also developed now. Most poor countries just haven’t managed it yet for one reason or another.
That other reason, too often it’s Western intervention.
As a consequence, I believe that there won’t be a peaceful transition into a multipolar world, because that could have already happened.
If China escalates to cause war in Asia when other countries are sufficiently pissed off by them trying to steal territory and harass others non-stop, then that plus a potential Chinese real estate market collapse could cause pretty serious problems in the region.
Traumatized Ukrainian “terrorists”.
You’ve fought s brutal war only to be sold out by your allies. Do you really just go home?
Most will. But a few will take the fight into Russian territory and use insurgent tactics.
The media will call them terrorists.
They made a film about it “idiocracy” and its already started.
It’s already worse
We will have The Year of Linux Desktop 3: Libre Boogaloo
Third one’s the charm!
I’ve flirted with Linux off and on for 20 years, but MS forcing everyone to Win 11, stuffed with spyware, is the end of the road for me. Now on Linux full time. Linux isn’t about to take over the desktop, but I can see Windows shedding a couple million users a year as enshittification continues.
Russia will own Alaska.
China will take over Taiwan and Japan.
N.Korea will take over S.Korea.
That’s the most obvious insanity caused by Trump love for Putin. Global borders will fall everywhere.
North Korea taking over South Korea sounds as absurd to me as Jamaica taking over the US.
The closest to “taking over” SK would be if they started dropping nukes and didn’t actually want the land/resources/businesses/money and also didn’t care about retaliation from allies…
You think SK and allies will be able to stop an Army of NK, China, and Russia?
I don’t. Allies won’t use nukes to stop it.
That would really be China taking over Korea, then. That’s not North Korea taking over
True. I should’ve specified NK & allies taking over SK.
America will suffer an economic depression and become more isolationist which will allow the depression to continue unabated. Millions die of starvation and exposure.
Nostradamus over here. How did you manage to scrap that conclusion together? No one could possibly predict that outcome.
That’s Nostradumbass to you.
🫡
Millions die of starvation and exposure and preventable disease.
Covid called
Yes, and as someone with a pricey cancer treatment at the moment which I can only afford due to Medicaid, there is a very good chance I will be one of them.
You and I don’t always see eye to eye on some issues, but I hope you know that I am always wishing you well and strength in your continuing battle. This internet rando wants you to be around and be here for decades to come. I’m pulling for you.
🫂
Fuck cancer, I hope you kick the shit out of it!
At least five new countries acquire nuclear weapons.
Ameriscum here. Trump starts a war to create plausibility for holding on to executive power past current term limits. Which has happened in American history. Not the starting part as an ends to a means though. I’m scared.
2003 called. It wants it’s bingo space back.
…When in American history did a president start a war in order to serve more than two terms?
45 men have served as President of the United States, two of them non-consecutively. The only one of them to serve more than two full terms was Franklin Delano Roosevelt from 1933 to 1945, being elected four times and dying in office. At the time, no term limits for President existed, and World War 2 was certainly not started by the United States.
Last sentence being: “not the starting the war part”
I was referring exactly to Roosevelt and didn’t realize the term limit for presidents didn’t exist then.
Again, I specifically said that about not starting a war but holding office indefinitely while a war was ongoing. Don’t know how to quote on mobile but, again, last sentence of original post.
Sorry just bad at words. And history apparently.
Yeah…FDR won the elections of 1932, 1936, 1940, and 1944. The United States entered World War 2 on December 7, 1941 with Japan’s near simultaneous declaration of war and attack on Pearl Harbor, with Germany following suit shortly thereafter.
We’re talking about Franklin “New Deal” Roosevelt here, widely popular for his pro-labor stance and his “fireside chat” radio addresses. All four of his elections he carried a comfortable lead in the popular vote of 55 to 60% and won four landslides in the electoral college, in one case carrying all but two states. He really didn’t need the war as a pretext for remaining in office for what would turn out to be the last 4 months of his life.
But, “America bad,” right? So lying about history is okay.
I missed context on term limits and their timing with the war. I wasn’t even that far off. I never said america was bad and I didn’t lie towards making a prediction. As I welcomed your information.
But thanks for reminding me, never interact with the Internet.
I bet your kids call you captain_asshole
Sorry just bad at words. And history apparently.
I mean, you’re just a humble boatsman anyway. No big deal.
FDR was probably the greatest president we’ve ever had.
OP’s probably thinking about Vietnam and Nixon. And Johnson.
War on Terror lies got Bush 2 reelected. That and the corrupt government of Florida plus the corrupt supreme Court.
This one is the most probable of all the replies. Mostly because Trump has been following Putin’s playback.
Albeit it might not be a full on conflict with a new nation but just a significant escalation i.e. Taiwan and China.
Preperations for the 2038 bug (similar te the Y2K bug) start too late about 2035
Linux Desktop gets stronger, even if its slow
I may or may not manage to finish hosting Nextcloud mostly save on the internet
Rise in suicide rates
fall of fanservice isekai (pls)
Rise of the fediverse (could be slow)
What 2038 bug? Why would it cause a bug?
Computers have to store time somewhere and the unix timestamp needs on 19 january 2038 more storage than the commonly used data type offers. Then it returns to the first possible date possible -> 13 December 1901
Imagine wanting to make an appointment for the 20 jan 2038 and then it says “could not make an appointment on 14 dec 1901”
it would be funny or annoying for us but be a big problem in bank/transaction systems
Some systems are prepared but the problems are systems that cant be updated
Just curious as a casual PC gamer. What would make the average person care enough to switch to Linux?
Also as a casual pc gamer, here is my take.
I just started getting into github projects, and have learned a few things. Like windows and linux can be ran on the same operating system (called wsl) for free and already built in windows. It is pretty useful for developer projects. The point being, there is a good chunk of gamers that are tech savy. Learning linux is not that hard especially with no barriers to entry.
But MAINLY, because people are tired of changing operating systems. https://store.steampowered.com/hwsurvey
Windows 10 has INCREASED in popularity more than windows 11 compared to last year for steam users. Since Windows 10 will be officially discontinued in a year, that is actually bonkers. This shows that people (gamers) are getting tired of making unnecessary changes/updates to things that aren’t broken and work fine.
Linux is a free option for that. BUT… until you can play all steam game son linux, the switch won’t happen. The linux popularity will only increase once games can be run on it. Then, the gamers will teach their families how to use linux, which won’t be hard, because distros like Ubuntu are already user friendly (Macs are also based off linux as well). It has desktop, file exploration, browsers, etc.
Since most people just use their computers for work, email, social media, streaming, etc., there is actually no reason for people not to use linux really. The only reason they haven’t is because they are not per-installed on computers and windows is already ‘free’.
Thank makes sense. It pissed me off a lot when I was playing Bannerlord and upgraded to windows 11 only to have the game freeze frame every frequently when it never happened on windows 10. Also some of the UI options are worse.
Depends on the “average” person You are allowed to stop reading at any point!
generally:
- if one only uses the browser anyway why not use an os that is easy to install, gets updates for like forever, can run on a potato and just works
- it supports more hardware (especially that it does not require tpm) making it cheaper when choosing used hardware + is more resource efficient
- It has no ads build in
- being able to drag games fullscreen from one desktop to another with windows key* pressed and mouse drag (at least arch + plasma)
- users being able to choose their own difficulty from easy and less flexible (mint) to specific (bazzite, looks like a games console but for steam) to advanced (arch) and further
- no account needed to use it (+ no nag screens except maybe on install but way less than windows)
- able to be installed on a USB stick and be used on every pc that lets you boot from it, can even be tested without install
- Installing software is much easier and safer as one does not need to visit some website to download an exe but only needs to open the program store or look up the name and then simply copy paste something in the console and press enter
- a lot can be updated at once, not only the system but programs as well with one simple command (or the update button in discover or something like that)
*dont really know how else to call it XD
specific: gamer -> proton works wonderful to emulate win games that have no intrusive anticheat (protondb is your friend) office -> open office or if they want a more ms office thing Softmaker (but its paid & some things are not supported, has no subscription options tho) artist -> gimp and krita are your friends
cons (to be a bit fair):
- some things (like how to download programs) can be massively inconsistent between platforms (glancing at ubuntu)
- its not windows and will never be so it can be challenging to adapt (like using the console or installing programs)
- MS office is not native to linux and needs compatibility layers (like proton or wine) or even a VM
- could be a hassle for students or workers where MS software is required
Sorry for the dump, i am not sure if i properly answered your question or you got what you wanted to know
Yeah you did. Thank you for the response and indepth analysis.
Gaming performance. And not getting f-ed up by Windows again, and again, and again.
By level of confidence, from top to bottom:
Bitcoin will dump soon and then raise up again around 2028
Trump will stay in power until next elections (and yes, elections will still take place)
Ukraine will have to surrender to Russia around late 2025-early 2026, boosting authoritarian regimes around the world
Linux desktop share will raise to 6% by 2027
Ukraine will likely cede territory but not a total surrender. It would give both sides an exit.
Yeah I sure meant that
I think Trump is going to die in the next 10 years.
Rootin for cholesterol
Well unfortunately it’d just go to Vance 🤢
Well yeah, but at least he’s just evil, not insane.
I don’t think you understand how much worse competent evil can make things for you, versus incompetent evil.
Hopefully much sooner!
TBF, Russia still has elections. Just no chance of Putin ever leaving.
The elections are commonly rigged, and budgetary employees are often forced to promote Putin and the United Russia party.
Wars over water in North America
The today’s “brave new world” will start turning into Orwellian Big Brother society. It’s already happening. Of course neither option is great but I prefer drugs, orgies and idiots to surveillance, absolute police state and slaves/prisoners.
It’s inadvisable to think about people being after you, “how would I hide,” etc…but if you give it a thought or two, you might realize it would already be very, very, very difficult to escape nearly omnipresent surveillance. You just need to put one or two headlines together…
“Google Tracking Your Phone Even Before You Open App/Potentially Even When Phone is Off”
“DOGE Has Gained Access to Americans’ Private Data”
Etc… We let it sneak up on us and we’re going to find it’s seemingly all there at once.
In Finland the Police has been demanding full access to fingerprints originally gathered for passports and IDs (of around three million citizens) which means that the police could use them for other than their intended purposes. AND it looks like the police is finally going to have their way in this matter. This is how a police state is build, one step at a time until it’s too late to complain.
Yeah, and after the last two Independece days I really don’t trust cops much.
In the US the cops come by schools and fingerprint every kid when they’re about 10 years old. They did it thirty years ago to me and they still do it today.
The collapse of the petro dollar.
All hail the KilowattYuan!
This year will be declared the year of the linux desktop.
And so will the year after, and the one after…
One or more leading countries in the world to recognize some form of AI as sentient.
WILL it be sentient? Or what do you suppose will be the development that causes us to go, “holy shit, it’s real this time!”?
I think they’re just saying they’ll incorrectly consider it sentient because we’re always lead by morons, it seems.
People are already pretending ChatGPT is their girlfriend.
People are already treating LLMs like omnipotent beings.
Marketing teams can get idiots to beleive anything.
