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Oh, that I can, and thank you for your message, really. With that said, here is the differences: cars did work as a transport, and AI as it is marketed (magic replacer of all) does not, and even in the narrow use case of programming - no, it does not. It can produce heaps of lines of code, it cannot do the work of building a reliable software that does what is required of it. It has also failed to replace artists. So no, I am not afraid
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Yes, it’s not linear. The progress of GenAI in the past 2 years is logarithmic at best, if you compare it with the boom that was 2019-2023 (from GPT2 to GPT4 in text, DALL-E 1 to 3 in images). The big companies trained their networks on all of the internet and ran out of training data, if you compare GPT4 to GPT5 it’s pretty obvious. Unless there’s a significant algorithmic breakthrough (which is looking less and less likely), at least text-based AI is not going to have another order-of-magniture improvement for a long time. Sure, it can already replace like 10% of devs who are doing boring JS stuff, but replacing at least half of the dev workforce is a pipe dream of the C-suite for now.
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My monkey brain keeps hearing of non-linear progress, and things keep staying here:
Besides that, since you insist on being fearful: why AI of all things and not a handful of rich assholes who actually make our lives hard every damn day?
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Ooh, scary once again. First, let me give you some credit and take the description for face value: How is this omnipotent system going to be created? By humans who err? By current LLMs which dream up names of libraries and functions? And most importantly, how is it going to become capable of manipulating “anyone to do anything” when even “I” do not always know what it is going to take for me to do some arbitrary X, and this is true for almost all humans, save sages/buddhas etc (can’t deny they are possible, so count them as existing)?
Your proposed threat looks like a conspiracy theory. Some of them have proven to be actually true, and this is no reason to believe anything
yes, in future IF ai replaces me as a programmer(which as explained is not possible), then I shall start working alongside it.
See cars replaced horses, but not humans, our need for progress is insatiable and I doubt any software program can emulate human intelligence
